A long shot won the Kentucky Derby, but there's no denying the odds-on favorite for #1 on this week's HITS Top 50. Rimas' Bad Bunny comes out of the gate strong as Un Verano Sin Ti is on pace for the year's biggest first week and the most impressive start of his career. Bunny broke the first-day global streaming record at Spotify with more than 180m. In the U.S., total streams for the week could top 300m. Jack Harlow's Come Home the Kids Miss You is projected to open at #2.

Bad Bunny (Rimas): 235-260k
Jack Harlow (Generation Now/Atlantic): 110-135k

Now if you'll excuse us, we're pounding Moscow mules today until our backyard looks like a playa in honor of the streaming superstar and his chart-topping new single.