Rumor Mill

UPDATED FORECASTS: LET'S CRUNCH SOME NUMBERS

May 3, 2022

We are entering a thicket of superstar releases, and our forecasts for several of these have been updated. Here’s where we think first weeks will land as May gets underway.

Two absolute blockbusters are due this month, and the numbers for each have been revised northward. Kendrick Lamar’s forthcoming TDE/Interscope set, due 5/13, feels like 350-400k, while we’re expecting Columbia’s Harry Styles, who’ll drop on 5/20, to bow in the 400-450k range.

This week will see releases from Generation Now/Atlantic’s Jack Harlow (160-180k) and RimasBad Bunny, with our initial forecast in the 125-150k range.

Post Malone’s first set on Mercury/Republic is slated for 6/3 with our first thoughts putting it at 250-275k in its first frame. 6/24 brings a fresh album from River House/Columbia Nashville superstar Luke Combs, with a forecast of 150-175k.

What else is coming and how much will it do? We’ll keep you posted.