Going into the weekend, Simon Cowell's gal Boyle is a runaway for #1 on next Tuesday's HITS Album Sales chart, with a total almost three times her closest competitor, 19/RCA/ RMG's Idol runner-up Adam Lambert.
Boyle's I Dreamed a Dream is on target for between 625-675k in sales, which would be the year's biggest debut, besting Eminem's 608k for his Relapse album.
Lambert's For Your Entertainment looks like a lock for #2 with between 210-230k.
The week's other big story is Interscope's Lady Gaga, whose seven-song Fame Monster EP will sell between 190-210k, good enough for #3, while her just-released two-disc Fame Monster deluxe edition should add another 130-150k to that album's total.
Decca's Andrea Bocelli is the lone Top 5 holdover at 180-200k, where he's running neck-and-neck with Def Jam/IDJ diva Rihanna's critically acclaimed Rated R with the same estimated total.
The rest of the chart looks a little something like this, pending weekend traffic:
Carrie Underwood (19/Arista Nashville) 100-120k
John Mayer (Columbia) 90-110k
* Shakira (Columbia) 85-100k
50 Cent (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 85-100k
Twilight Saga: New Moon (Chop Shop/Atlantic) 85-100k
Norah Jones (Blue Note/EMI) 85-100k
Taylor Swift Fearless (Big Machine) 85-100k
Michael Jackson's This Is It (Epic) 75-90k
Casting Crowns Peace on Earth (Provident/Reunion) 75-90k
Taylor Swift Holiday Collection (Big Machine) 75-90k
*indicates debut
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