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The [Van Halen] album is so far the front-runner for #1, but don’t count out XL/Columbia’s Adele, whose 6.4-million-selling 21 should make a late surge based on Sunday night’s Grammy telecast and Tuesday’s Valentine’s Day.

VAN HALEN VS. ADELE: DUEL FOR #1

Reformed Rockers Eye 200k for New Studio Album, with Adele in Hot Pursuit
It’s the Truth.

Van Halen’s new Interscope album, A Different Kind of Truth, their first with lead singer David Lee Roth since 1984 that same year, will debut with between 180-200k on next week’s chart, based on one-day sales from those music retailers who haven’t closed down to run a Chick-a- Fil franchise.

The band’s last album, 1998’s Van Halen III, with lead vocalist Gary Cherone, sold 191k on its way to a total of 516k

The album is so far the front-runner for #1, but don’t count out XL/Columbia’s Adele, whose 6.4-million-selling 21 should make a late surge based on Sunday night’s Grammy telecast and Tuesday’s Valentine’s Day to put her within striking distance of the #1 spot for the 20th time in a remarkable 51-week run.

Capitol/EMI’s long-running Now series now with its 41st edition, will be the next highest debut, with a total between 130-140k.

Epic pop-rockers The Fray’s third album, Scars and Stories, is on target for between 90-100k. Their last album, Feb. 2009’s self-titled effort, sold almost twice that in its opening week,180k, eventually moving some 897k in all.

Hear Music/Concord legend Paul McCartney’s Kisses on the Bottom, his tribute to the Great American Songbook, is on tap for between 65-70k.

Capitol Nashville/EMI country star Dierks Bentley’s Home, his first since 2010’s Up on the Ridge, is on target for 55-60k after the latter debuted with 39k.

Album sales were up 8% vs. last week, up 6% vs. same week last year and up 3% year to date.

Track sales were up 2% vs. last week, up 7% vs. same week last year and up 6.5% year to date.

TEA sales were up 6% vs. last week, up 6% vs. same week last year and up 4.25% year to date.

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